Folks say there's more upside with Trump as president than Shrillary, as well as a lot more downside.
I tried to quantify it using the scientifically rigorous SWAG method, assigning points randomly (a terrible presidency should surely be a negative value):
Good presidency (2 points): 20% chance = .2 * 2 = .4
Average presidency (1 pt): 30% chance = .3 * 1 = .3
Terrible presidency (0 pts): 50% chance = .5 * 0 = 0
Good presidency (2 pts): 0% chance = 0
Avg presidency (1 pt) 70% chance = .7
Terrible presidency (0 pt) 30% chance = 0
TOTAL = .7
A statistical dead heat easily within the margin of error.
Notes: Clinton is eliminated from having any chance at having a "good" presidency simply on the basis of the 100% certainty of her terrible SCOTUS pick(s). Assigning a terrible presidency a negative point value would of course put Clinton on top.