Tom Luongo:
I can see the argument that Iran and Russia forced the US to choose between Ukraine and Israel, I can see that the US is forcing Russia to choose between Ukraine and Syria.
Do I think trading Ukraine for Syria a good trade for Russia? Of course, in every way. Iran can defend Syria at this point; what is NATO going to do?
When you play out the series of moves it doesn’t end well for the United States which is exactly the plan. Iran has to take the punch in the mouth, they have to sacrifice Hamas, the Palestinians.
Even Trump is talking about going to war with Iran. The Republican caucus here in Florida is demanding DeSantis stop his presidential campaign. Why? Because Trump just came out in favor of going to war with Iran. Meaning, there’s been a deal made. And he’ll do this. We have four years of evidence that Trump will do whatever the British want him to do even though it was the British (Steele dossier) that brought on Russia/Russia/Russia. He had four years of these neocons running operation after operation against him and then he comes out and says this, at this moment in time, when he’s got a 50-point lead and every other neocon is dropping out of the race? When everybody who is a Republican of any note wants war, and Trump who owns the Republican base, could have shown leadership and said, ‘What happened in Israel was terrible.....” and stopped there. We don’t have to be the 800lb gorilla going all over the world beating everyone over the head.
The Iranians invented chess and the Russians perfected it, the British invented statecraft and now we’re going to watch who perfected that. It’s really dumb, and yet it’s where we’re headed because everybody’s incentives line up for war. Today we are closer to an absolutely ugly long-form conflict than we have ever been.