I’m always fascinated by the “beginnings of our discontent”, i.e. when the ‘60s really started. I would say the pivotal years were 1948-1954 as reflected in our art, music, film and liturgy (the canaries in the coal mine)...
The categories of when things changed:
1. Religion (1947) This is hard to pinpoint, but changing the liturgy is, at base, an expression of dissatisfaction and it started by Pope Pius in ’47, increased in ’55, and the mass was made nearly unrecognizable by ’68. So the roots of the ‘60s discontent started in 1947 in the Church. A Mass that was stable and almost changeless for 400 years suddenly needed a lot of work and tinkering apparently. On birth control the Church started backing down in ’55 with acceptance of the rhythm method.
2. Art (1948) In the late ‘40s we started getting ugly, nonsensical art. “Abstract expressionism” became popular. Another sign of unrest, dissatisfaction, and societal disease.
3. Books. (1951 decline started with instant success of angsty “Catcher in the Rye”)
4. Music (1952-53...some music critics say the last time the best music was also the most popular music came during the Big Band era of the ‘30s and ‘40s... which ended with rock and roll about 1952-ish.)
5. Movies (beginning in 1955 expressions of angst and dissatisfaction became big hits)
6. Politics (1960? JFK appealed to an public more interested in youth/appearance than substance)
7. Family (1964) Divorces, the ultimate expression of discontent, seemed to take off about then.
8. Television (1968); a lagging indicator.
So really the cultural fire of the ‘60s were lit by the long fuse of the ‘50s. I guess similarly the ‘80s return to conservatism were fueled by the long fuse of pent-up dissatisfaction that began in 1968 with the “silent majority” that elected Nixon. From ’68 to ’80 there was the fuse and then Reagan burst on the scene.
One could say that a return to normalcy and conservatism will take 12 years based on those numbers. The pent-up dissatisfaction showed up in 2016 with the election of Trump (similar to Nixon’s ’68 win for the silent majority) but then Nixon was unsuccessful and we had Jimmy Carter. It took a dozen years to get real change. Similarly twelve years from 2016 would mean we have an opportunity for a new era around 2028 if that pattern holds. Nixon wasn’t able to get anything half-way conservative done in his years because it was too soon; similarly there was nothing Trump could do in his first term, having been handcuffed by the deep state and his own deep state appointments.
The interesting thing is whether the elites will even allow a reformer to take office ever again. They have more tools for control than in, say, 1980. They own big business in a way they never did before, they have a very compliant press, they are better able to censor speech they don’t like and they can also inflict their will via the justice system. Lawyers are more powerful than during the ‘70s, to the point they are able to “lawfare” people who even question election results. Almost all of Trump’s lawyers have been arrested.
On paper, the Democrats have a series of incredible advantages in just about every way possible except for Divine approval. From legal strength, to fundraising, to having a more unified party (Republicans have split between MAGA and establishment), they hold all the cards except for the thin reed of the Supreme Court. Seventy-five percent of lawyers are registered Democrat and they are a major financial pillar within Democrat fundraising.
“In this world you will have trouble, but worry not, for I have overcome the world.” --gospel of John