Leadership
It's always interesting to observe the line where optimism begins to turn into a denial of reality, although of course in public the President can't afford to be anything other than confident since that can effect the outcome. I share Bush Sr's view of things while Ham o' Bone is optimistic concerning the mid-terms. If Ham is right, I'll decorate the blog in Dolphin colors & iconography for a week. (He's a Miami fan.)
One thing that has surprised me is just how crucial leadership is for a party. It seems less an important element than the important element. Arguably, the only periods during which the Republicans have been any good have been under Reagan and George W. Bush (and the latter only in spots, i.e. tax cuts and judges) and the only time the Congress has been any good was under Gingrich. Good leadership is a lagging indicator; you don't know someone isn't doing the job until they're already in the job.
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