May 07, 2023

Why it's Trump or Nobody in '24 and '28 and...

The weaponization of justice system and Fed agencies against MAGA was certainly a work of political evil genius that puts the GOP in a bind that will perhaps last generations. At the very least it will divide the party for a lot longer than needed. 

It has altered GOP politics like Roe v  Wade did national politics. By taking something that was meant to be solved within the political system (i.e. whether to allow abortion) and giving it to nine justices, it created a dramatic gravitational pull and division between the parties such that the pro-life Democrat and pro-choice Republican became the last passenger pigeons.

Similarly by taking the 2020 presidential race out of the political system and have it decided by the FBI (via the Russia hoax, censoring speech on Twitter & Facebook, failure to investigate the Hunter Biden laptop, and ignoring voter fraud) they've created two armed camps within the GOP. The last passenger pigeon in this case is the pro-Trump and pro-Pence Republican.

The quandary for GOP candidates is how to be critical of the Deep State without being blackmailed/lawfare’d/turning off donor class...That is a square that can't be circled except by a dynamic, outspoken, fearless, charismatic person gathering a lot of small donations. Sound like anybody we know? 

DeSantis could instantly gain popularity with the base by moving to the right of Trump on the weaponization of government by visiting the political prisoners in the D.C. gulags and donating to their causes. But that could never happen given donor class and complete ostracization of the media. 

So the Democrats have effectively penned the GOP in, leaving no options other than Trump. Republicans can't morally unify around an establishment Republican like Haley or Tim Scott willing to overlook the abuses in Whitmer case, Jan6, TwitterFiles, etc… But neither can they unify around a divisive figure like Trump who, like it or not, is the only one who will war with leviathan. 

Ideally, a potential GOP candidate needs to explain to the base the case for sweeping that stuff under the rug and explain why/how it won’t happen in the future. Honesty and transparency would go a long way instead of the pretend game they’re now playing. Not holding my breath. 

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