December 04, 2020

Georgia on My Mind

Part of the problem with the election coverage is there is no disinterested coverage. Which means it’s up to the individual to try to sort out truth from fiction while having a very small base of background knowledge in which to do it. You could call it amateur hour but then our elites are amateurs too, at least in terms of competence.  So we all try to ferret out the truth because we rightly don’t trust elected officials. 

It does sort of come down to that in some ways. Do we trust, for example, the governor and Sec of State in Georgia?  We could trust them in two ways: for their competence and integrity and obviously both are important.


I have no way of knowing their competence as I don’t know their jobs. So that’s not a fruitful avenue for sleuthing. 


What about integrity?  I don’t know their hearts but I can look for clues. 


1999-20?: Raffensperger accumulates a lot of debt, reportedly over $860k. No sin there. But did he cover it up? His opponent for a 2015 Georgia House seat was Kelly Stewart. Her campaign claimed: 

Raffensperger refuses to show proof that he's "paid 21 tax liens, legal judgments and lawsuits he's incurred over the last 17 years that total more than $860,000."

"It seems as if Brad's entire defense is: 'Everyone else is lying except me,’ [Stewart campaign manager] continued. 'Are over a dozen of private companies, courts, and government jurisdictions across four states really lying about his failure to pay his taxes and debts? Is this some conspiracy they dreamed up over 17 years just to keep him out of public office? And if they are lying, where is the proof that these issues have been resolved?'


Raffensperger said his opponent has 'knowingly stated factually untrue things' about him, his family and his business. He also said he's responded to Stewart's mailings concerning his 'business setbacks.'


'Business setbacks do occur in the free enterprise system — they are a fact of life,' he said." 


2002-2010: (Now Gov) Brian Kemp wins Georgia State Senate in “stunning upset campaign” run by Jared Thomas, later Chief of Staff when Kemp was Sec of State, and later a Dominion lobbyist.

2007-2008: Kemp gets into financial difficulty and acquires large “insider” loans when getting loans was difficult; but not fully paid off as of 2018. No proof of any graft other than a refusal to reveal the terms of such loans, which can be helpfully gentle.

2010: Kemp appointed by Sonny Perdue, who had ethical violations around a conflict of interest and taking campaign contributions in amounts that exceeded state limits from several donors — including a political action committee run by SunTrust, the Georgia-based bank. Unclear if the ethical violations were “ticky-tack” fouls or how intentional they were. SunTrust later donated $14,000 to Kemp’s 2018 run for governor ($2,500 to his opponent). 

2018: Kemp wins close election against Stacey Abrams* while remaining as Sec of State during the run. Brad Raffensperger, a civil engineer, wins his Sec of State office after just four years experience in Georgia House and six years as a politician. Raffensperger appoints fellow Fulton County resident Gabriel Sterling, as COO of the Secretary of State. However, by April 2020, Raffensperger is referring the U.S. Election Assistance Commission to Sterling by giving Sterling’s personal gmail account instead of a state account email.  So perhaps Sterling was short-lived appointment?  His LinkedIn is extremely long and seemingly comprehensive but lacks Sterling Innovative Solutions, a LLC with himself as registered agent.

Sterling was a city councilman and is a business owner. Raffensperger said at the time: “I have worked with Mr. Sterling on several projects, and have found him to be knowledgeable and insightful to the intersection between the political and business communities.”  The claim to fame for Sterling’s council was privatizing almost all city work (although a few years later was mostly undone).

July 2019: Dominion is awarded $107 million contract with former chief of staff Jared Thomas as lobbyist.

Nov 2019: Kemp falls out with Trump over appointing newcomer Loeffler as senator instead of Trump-favorite and known quantity Doug Collins, a former salesman, pastor, Georgia House member and then U.S. Congressman who said in July 2019: “We will need to... ensure that government intelligence and law enforcement powers are never again used and turned on a private citizen or a political candidate as a result of the political leanings.”  Loeffler is a wealthy businesswoman involved in financial services and owning exchanges.

Apr 2020: Letter to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAC) from Secretary of State Raffensperger announces grant of $10+million towards election. Not clear yet where the money went and there’s a FOI request recently outstanding towards an auditing.

Nov 2020: Attorney Sidney Powell accuses GA state officials of corruption. Loeffler and Perdue issue joint statement: “The Secretary of State has failed to deliver honest and transparent elections. He has failed the people of Georgia, and he should step down immediately."


* - humorously, four of Abrams top ten donors had donations of $21,000 and shared the surname Soros, one being George of course. 

December 03, 2020

The Voting Industrial Complex

The lack of curiosity by National Review and others on voting technology baffles me, as if it doesn’t matter who controls so much of our infrastructure. They are trusting souls.

Or maybe they’re like, “what’s a little election theft among friends?” Presidential elections have been stolen in the past (1824 and 1960 come to mind) so it’s not without precedent. And human beings are pretty bad so it’s certainly "reasonable” to expect that this will happen. 

On the other hand we fought the Revolution over a lack of representation so it’s also not without precedent that we engage in war to ensure rights of self-government.  

I think part of it also is the power of the symbolic. It’s a sign of a much larger architectural project of control by elites. It’s not enough, potentially, to control the media, Hollywood, social media, etc.. to censor and shame, etc... But they also have the audacity to vote-cheat.

Perhaps as compelling as the testimonies was the reaction to a contested election, that it had to be shut down immediately. There’s a self-fulfilling prophecy in that: if you want to censor all discussion immediately about election fraud then you’re adding fuel to the conspiracy fire. If you want to tell me that Dominion is safe because Dominion says so then it’s going to raise more questions than if you at least said you’d investigate it. Especially when two prominent Democrat senators raised the issue the year previous.  


Much of it is fog of war and there is conflicting information with literally no one you can trust. And of course no one knows anything about Dominion voting machines by design, the theory being it best be kept as close to the vest as possible so as to not open itself to hackers or otherwise be publicized. Even who owns the company is being researched as it recently passed hands from one hedge fund to UBS Securities. Reporters probably can’t find out anything about how our electronic votes are counted simply because you’re not supposed to.  And all that ignores the sloppy, un-auditable system we have now in many states that encourages fraud.


There’s a simple way to get people to stop considering elections illegitimate. Stop cheating and end the Voting Industrial Complex. Three companies wield massive control over voting in this country. Use open source code and put up barriers to cheat-by-mail systems. 


It’s one thing for liberal cities to loot and pillage themselves but it’s another when you allow that lawlessness to extend to the disenfranchisement of voters in saner places.

December 02, 2020

A Tale of Two States

Interesting to compare election stats from '16 and '20 and between states with cleaner systems than others. It's obviously not helpful that the fraud is not contained to one type; the cheaters didn't have the decency to do that. And it's possible Dominion is clean although there's no way we should be allowing them the control they have. Of course, we know tech companies only have the common good in mind but still they should have open source code. 

Charlie Kirk comments on a pod: 

“Where’s the proof? Florida. It’s the only state where none of this crap was allowed. Ron DeSantis said you’re not putting these [Zuckerberg] drop boxes on the street, we do elections our way, if you request a ballot you have to verify the signature, everything was done beautifully in Florida.  I saw someone trying to vote who had already had been sent a ballot and voter fraud was stopped right in front of me. The system was working. And in Florida Donald Trump won by 4% --- in a battleground state where Florida used to be decided by 10,000 votes or less.”

Kirk also used the analogy of how if you’d have said in Boston that priests were abusing kids and the bishops knew, you’d be a kook and ostracized. People want to shield themselves from evil, not believe it, especially when not presented by any "reputable" news source like the New York Times. 

So Florida seems to be a reasonably tough state to cheat in and Georgia unusually easy.  Surprisingly, or maybe not, the final results differed wildly.  Trump's share of U.S. popular vote rose by 1.1% between '16 and '20 but in GA he took a nose-dive. 

Florida total votes cast went up 18% over '16 election while Georgia rose an astounding 24% from '16 (Georgia population was up 3% over last four years, while Florida up 4.2%). 

Trump gained 2.1% in Florida from '16.  He fell by 2% in Georgia from '16.   

But I guess they don't have suburbs in Florida so it all makes sense!

Voting Tech Changes over time:


Dominion machines (red): 



December 01, 2020

How a Vote Becomes a Vote: Schoolhouse Rock Edition

How does a vote become a vote? It’s like sausage being made but more ugly. So in Schoolhouse Rock fashion, let’s try:

Setting Expectations
The process of how your vote and your dead relative’s vote gets counted is a long and arduous path with many twists and turns, blind alleys, and black boxes hidden under layers of computer code with DNA that has been traced back to the Neanderthals.

A little known caveat is that vote totals, like polls, are recorded with a margin of error, meaning that up to 3% of votes are fraudulent or inaccurately recorded. This is okay and patriots will remember to “accept the results of election, even with the rounding error”.

The Infancy of Your Vote or Your Imaginary Vote
Popular folklore has it that vote is a binary choice, 1 or 0, a “yes” or “no”. However, we’ve learned that voting machine software is sophisticated enough to anticipate a future in which humanoid robots are allowed to vote and that their vote would count only a fraction of a human’s vote.  So you could call this very far-reaching and anticipatory software coding an impressive if uncommon feature in the programming world.

Your vote is ideally backed up by the “hard currency” (call it the gold standard) of a printed ballot. Not all states allow this and have something called “fiat electronic voting” where paper is not required. This is to save trees because the environment is far more important than election integrity.

But in a state like Georgia there is a paper trail.  And it all starts in a factory where the ballots are duly printed. These ballots are then stored and delivered to precincts by dedicated Democrat volunteers. These ballots are later moved in three-card monty fashion to precincts where your candidate of choice needs a bit of oomph. Call it political viagra. (Note: Facebook has determined this information is disputed.)

Arrival at the Voting Station
Next your average Joe goes to the voting booth and this is where it gets complicated. Your voting machine may or may not be hooked up to the internet. It may or may not have a sophisticated algorithm that allows votes to be padded as need be.  It may or may not assign your vote a fractional value, depending on the righteousness of your vote. But you make your choices and the machine does its thing, printing your selections and recording the votes automagically. The source code is closed and proprietary in order to help prevent people other than Dominion IT staff from manipulating votes.

Glitch-Time!
Then a “glitch” occurs, call it a water main break, toilet stopped up, server crash, or people just getting darn tired and needing a smoke break during vote-counting. It’s important though that Republican vote-watchers either leave the building or be moved a football field away.

Step up you dead people!  You have a golden opportunity now. Dedicated volunteers move unsupervised ballots that may lack a chain of custody and may have them filled out and entered in the machine. It’s important to sync printed ballots to electronic ones but fortunately the software has safeguards to ensure this. It has thought of almost everything.

Typos Happen
Finally your vote is counted and sent from the precinct to the the county clerk. Surprisingly, there seem to be actual humans typing in numbers such that typos can occur. In one Michigan county an election clerk reported that “all it was is there was an extra zero that got typed in.” What a country!

Mail-ins, Zombies, and Non-Residents, Oh No!
After the polls close in some states mail-in ballots are counted. These ballots may or may not be from living people, may or may not be from residents of the state, may or may not be filled in by eager-beaver volunteers who happened across a bunch of empty ballots (see lack a chain-of-custody), may or may not be filled in by machines that produce amazingly perfect black ovals in large groups as if you had a obsessive-compulsive collection of voters all coming in at the same time.

Finally: Network Statisticians Study the Entrails
Next the election desks at major news organizations ingest the data in nearly realtime fashion and declare a winner based on sophisticated modeling that takes into account past fraudulent voting patterns in order to predict a winner (to within 3%+- of course).

November 30, 2020

Scooby Doo, Eric Coomer, Where Are You?

Suburban voters were moving away from the GOP long before Trump, so one way to look at the divisions in both parties now is that it’s simply the growing pains of party realignments: Dems with corporate cultures, wealthy suburbs and the woke, and GOP with working class, small business, and social conservatives. Newt Gingrich predicts turbulence ahead for the GOP in trying to hold on to gains made with Blacks, Hispanics and working class folks. 

That’s probably why Trump was so difficult for National Review: they loathed him, embraced him, and now loathe him again. Hard not to see National Review’s unhelpful editorial today on Trump as a coming attraction of the war between deplorables and establishment Republicans in the GOP.  But to their credit - or blame - NR *is* consistent. They were as incurious about Diebold voting machines as they are about Dominion’s. The only person who knows jack about tech at NR is Charlie Cooke. Fog of war makes it difficult to know what’s true about Dominion but he would have a bit more credibility on the hackability of vendors than the rest. 

I think if 2020 has taught us anything it’s that naivety hasn’t paid off well. We thought no way the China virus came from a lab until hmm.... We thought the virus wouldn’t make it to the U.S. and would be over soon.  We thought masks were worthless until they were priceless. We thought the FBI wouldn’t sit on Hunter’s laptop, or that Amy Robach’s story on Epstein would never get quashed, or that Twitter would never censor the NY Post. We thought BLM was benign and cared about racial justice, and that Biden was ahead by a dozen and that a Blue Wall was coming because the pollsters told us so. And now we think election voting fraud didn’t occur. So unlike the FBI, WHO, CDC, Russia hoax, Catholic hierarchy, etc.., we CAN trust the CISA.  To paraphrase Reagan, “we’re from the CISA and we’re here to help you.” In 2020 you’d have done well betting against the experts. 

And it’s certainly perfectly in government’s nature to have a half-assed approach to election integrity given the sad state of data hygiene on the state level.  It’s perfectly in keeping that a Matt Braynard can find fraudulent ballots that state governments can’t or won’t. 

Anecdotal example is my own self: I got Social Security checks for awhile, and over a period of months I had to call a couple of times, telling them, “hey, I’m only 45, please stoppa da $700+ checks. “  Hardest call I ever had to make, I tell ya. 

I emailed our company's cyber security guru today asking how he feel about electronic voting. Wish I’d asked before the election given how now no one can say anything about fraud since it’s kneejerkedly perceived as being pro-Donald Trump. Which is ridiculous but that’s the country we live in now, where everything is calibrated around someone who is frankly uninteresting. To me anyway. Although I guess he is interesting simply for the the phenomenally crazy effect he has on everyone. 

On a lighter note...

To the tune Scooby Doo: 

Eric, Eric Coomer, where are you?
We've got some questions for you now.

Eric, Eric Coomer, where are you?
We need some help from you now.

Come on, Eric Coomer, we see you
Hidin’ under your desk there.

But you're not fooling us, cause we can see
You talkin’ up Antifa. 

You know we've got a mystery to solve so Eric Coomer
be ready for your act
Don't hold back!

November 25, 2020

A Common Sense Democrat I Could Support

Who says common sense is completely dead? 

John Barrow, the Democrat challenger who ran against the current Georgia Sec of State, said back in 2018:  

"What we need is hand-marked paper ballots, optical scanners to provide a quick but unofficial tally of the vote at the end of Election Day, plus audits of these optical scanners to make sure we’re not relying on an unofficial count that’s misleading in any way...If you talk to people who are most technologically savvy, they say nothing is better than paper and pen. This is a back-to-the-future moment. We can use technology to enhance the voting experience, but we should never trust our ballots anymore to a medium that cannot be read and understood by a human being.”


November 24, 2020

#StopTheSteal

Heard an interesting off-hand remark from Eric Metaxas and George Papadopoulos in an interview, about how both feel they looked at Trump differently from the beginning by virtue of having a family that included not just white collar but blue-collar members. Makes sense. The upper and upper-middle crust now take it as a sign of bad faith to vote Trump. 

Something that has stuck with me was learning that Antonin Scalia was not scandalized by Trump’s run. Didn’t endorse him of course, nor could he, but his bemused, positive reaction to Trump was influential.

Just as the liberals are often shocked that there are conservatives, and conservatives shocked that are liberals, the well-heeled are shocked to learn that there are working people out there. All are Americans and all deserve representation. Which is why this election fraud is so frustrating. 

___

Kind of fascinating this Sidney Powell character. Great reputation as an attorney and truth-teller but now at this point she can only be one of three things: liar, lunatic, or truth-teller.  It’s hard to dismiss her given that Eric Metaxas, whom I have a ton of respect for, believes her.  Although I think his belief is mainly dependent on his great friend John Zmirak who worked with Sidney in the past and who vouches for her. So for me it’s like “three degrees of separation”, trusting someone who vouches for her based on someone he knows her. I suppose that’s a pretty thin reed. 

What’s interesting thing to me is there’s a much easier way to go and that’s to admit that electronic voting was a very stupid idea. How could it not be viewed skeptically?  And viewed skeptically it inherently undermines trust in the system. And yet no one wants to go there and say we should go back to paper ballots. There’s fraud too there but it’s a lot more localized than a vendor like Dominion having dominion.


In 2016 I wondered: can the guardrails of democracy hold up against Trump? Now I think: Fool, the guardrails were a Deep State illusion they wanted to foster. 


The worst thing about the new media landscape is there are no news organizations you can trust and only a few individuals. And those individuals often speak out of ignorance if in good faith. People who do know something can be compromised ethically.  I read about this wild-eyed character named Patrick Byrne, scourge of Wall Street. Got a masters degree at Cambridge, taught at Stanford, started Overstock.com and became abundantly rich -- and along the way made some enemies in his recklessness. He took on Goldman Sachs and all the hustlers on the illegality of naked calls and he won inasmuch as his truth turned out to be accepted. But he also got sued in an unrelated incident by someone who claimed defamation of character and Byrne lost and ended up having to pay millions. Dude seems larger than life, having kicked cancer three times, once given hours to live. He’s all in on the Dominion conspiracy but obviously his reputation is tainted. But as one article about him from 2014 said, “sometimes the conspiracy theorist is right.” 


So it’s really a Wild West information-style. You get disinformation from the right, disinformation from the left and the same from the center. 


The endlessly amusing thing is to Google search for information on voting machines prior to 2020. It’s hilarious how many news entities were concerned and curious about them.  For example, way back in 2018 an article in Atlanta magazine, no conservative voice, appeared with these lines:


"[Georgia's] audit relies purely on a sense of trust in the voting computers’ code. As evidenced by a video report by the New York Times, an experienced computer geek could dictate the results of an election by tricking officials..."


Now of course dead silence. Can’t question voting machines or you’re a kook because it means deligitimatizing Biden. Must rush to judgment. American Conservative put it well: “[Trump voters] do not know for sure that the election was stolen, but they do know with absolute certainty that the media would lie to them if it was."


I think it's kind of funny that the media portrays Trump’s lawyers as the most inept and bush league team ever assembled and yet meanwhile Dominion is lawyering up, hired RNC bigwig Michael Steele, scrubbing social media accounts, not putting executives on shows & skipping a scheduled Pennsylvania State House meeting. Interesting optics.


If you put all the circumstantial evidence together it’s pretty weird: 


1. Twitter/FB boldly and fearlessly suppress the New York Post Hunter Biden laptop story pre-election.

2. Pennsylvania and other states rush in new lax rules on account of covid. 

3. Mail-in ballot rejection rate fall precipitously from 2018 midterms; apparently people got very good at filling out their ballots in the meantime.  

4. Fox News calls Arizona well before Florida; even Nate Silver flatly states it was obviously wrong call based on voting results at time. 

5. Voting appears to stop in several high profile states for reasons murky. 

6. Trump picks up 15% (!) more votes than in 2016 and carries with him at least a dozen GOP House seats and still somehow loses to Biden. 

7. Media rushes to anoint Biden king; Joe, anxious to portray himself as legit goes and buys a stage prop saying “Office of Presidential Elect”, a made up office. 

8. Real-time votes show spikes in Biden numbers while statistical anomalies flourish (this is thesis of Patrick Byrne anyway). 

9. Dominion Voting vendor hides and plays scared instead of laughing at the “conspiracy theory”. 

10. Respected Sidney Powell (at least respected previously) states categorically and without caveat there is massive fraud, even naming names, and thus opens herself up to defamation lawsuits where literally the only defense is the truth. That’s what I call having some skin in the game.


Put it all together and something really feels off. 

November 23, 2020

The Upside of the Election

There’s a satisfying national lesson in all of this political stuff. The “forgotten man”, the Trump supporter in flyover country, has been seen and acknowledged in the wake of the election. (Although you’d think that he would’ve accomplished that in ’16.) 

In an article asking various elites “what the Trump years taught us” author Gary Shteyngart sees glass as half-empty: “Our blue/red segregation is complete.” Playwright Kirsten Greenidge sees it as half-full: “Americans are coming to accept their diversity…[including] those of us of varying political points of view.”


Shteyngart writes: 


“Mostly the past four years [8-12 years] have brought about a resignation of reaching over to the other side and finding a common purpose.”


Finding “common purpose” is the money phrase. Reminds me of ex-MLB player Torri Hunter’s comments:


Hunter: Let me tell you something about baseball players. People from the Dominican, Venezuela, Asia, white, black, they come together and you know why they play together? Because they’ve got a common goal: We’ve got to win the World Series. And guess what: Whites, blacks, Asian, everyone says, “Let’s go, let’s do what we have to do.”


America has no goal. We have nothing we’re trying to reach. That’s why we’re all over the place.


A lack of external enemies in this era of relative peace with other nations means we will find internal enemies since the humans crave narrative and narrative requires conflict. 


And a lack of common purpose of Chrisitianity has helped feed it. 


Our nat’l education in diversity has certainly progressed rapidly: the messiah-cult of Obama shocked the Right with the diversity of opinion in the country, and the messiah-cult of Trump did the same for the Left.  Tolerance, eh, not so much, but at least we’re aware of aware of diversity of thought instead of just color or national origin now. The liberal bubble has been burst: even the least self-aware liberals are expressing shock at Trump getting over 70 million votes. 


This, from First Things, mentioned that the biggest lesson was how inept the elites are, especially the media. Shades of my saying “no one is good at their job”. The author brings up how Trump pointed out the media at his rallies and people pointed their cellphones and photographed them:


“[The reporters] sputtered in reply, which only confirmed that our betters aren’t so smart or skilled or savvy, and not so virtuous either, though very good at self-help.”



November 21, 2020

We Get the Voting Systems We Deserve

The case for electronic voting fraud is getting more interesting. Certainly that Canada resisted the siren call of digital voting was interesting in itself. I googled for links from mainstream media publications prior to 2020 given that back then journalists were more curious. Of course it’s the media so all has to be taken with a grain of salt but at least the articles were written when the hysteria was at level 5 instead of defcon 10. 

A lot of interesting things concern an Eric Coomer, VP at Dominion.  Snopes can’t confirm or deny that on social media he posted pro-Antifa garbage or that he said that Trump would not win because he would make sure it wouldn’t happen.  Intriguingly, he was removed from the Dominion website listing. Why wouldn’t they stand behind him if all of this was slander? 

But that is distraction to the main issue of the question of the vulnerability of our election system.  Best I can tell, its introduction came through the best of intentions, to help the disabled to vote.  The Trojan horse of good intentions housing the demons of hacking vulnerability and lack of transparency is American life over the past century writ large, right?: a tenderness leading to the gas chambers. 

But don’t believe me, believe Dr. Eric Coomer.  Here are his own words at a California public hearing in 2010:

“Voting systems have a security life span.  What's safe today may not be safe tomorrow.  A good example of this is a FIPS 140-2 level military standards were cracked at the end of 2009.  These were certified USB drives as secure as encrypted devices.  And there was a fundamental flaw they were compromised. So immediately one of the vendors has been coding to fix that leak... And again the encryption or requirements were secure, but the way it was implemented was not. And it still got certified.  We have the same in the voting industry...Vulnerabilities come to light after the fact.” 

Have we given Eric Coomer and his ilk the keys to our democracy? 

From the Colorado Sec of State website:

“Never let a crisis go to waste” say Dems — why can’t Republicans use this strategy to go after vote fraud and have something good out of this train wreck.

Personally, I don’t care if Donald Trump won or not.  It may be to the conservative's advantage to lose the presidency and re-take the house in 2022 since midterms are usually hell for incumbents.  

But I care deeply if there was tinkering with the voting machines.  That’s the basis of a democracy and will make me a single issue voter next time.  I will vote for a pro-abort Democrat if they were legitimately anti voting corruption because if we don’t get the voting right then what point is voting based on the abortion issue?  As they say in business, voting is the critical path item. And shame on me for not taking Democrat concerns about voting prior to this election seriously. 

November 18, 2020

The Message Pope John Paul is Sending?

I wonder at the message, if there is one, contained in the news of our day. The great volcanic shocks of the virus and the warping of media and tech for sure, but also the McCarrick scandal and disintegrating trust in the Church. 

I think of my disappointment that Pope John Paul II, who seemed almost clairvoyant at times, could be so blinded by Maciel and McCarrick (assuming he was blinded and not motivated by something else).  But the human condition is blindness and we live in the dark valley. To error is human, even in the saintly among us. Sanctity doesn’t mean freedom from error - especially with regard to “reading people” (if that was the issue; I assume we’ll never know on this earth why he really promoted McCarrick). 

Jesus chose Judas as an apostle; Pope John Paul II chose McCarrick as a cardinal. In the end, Judas had an important if unwitting and terrible role to play in the saga of our salvation. Similarly, McCarrick could have an important role to play in the Church. Our abasement is complete in a way it wasn’t in say 2003 and with that comes a certain freedom. The Church no longer has to hide things in the interest of avoiding scandal. The “shouting from the rooftops of what is hidden” that our Lord said would happen, has happened.


Perhaps it’s a way to re-learn that the Body of Christ is a body for a reason and as charismatic and holy as the former pontiff may have been he could not overcome the rest of the body in the same way if our legs are broken our arms are of limited help in mobility. We seem to long for heroes but greedily we long that they have a “completeness” they cannot have.  We look for multi-dimensional excellence and are lucky to see it in a single dimension. We see an echo of that in the Biblical books. No one book can carry the tune. Every book has a fatal incompleteness. 


The difficulty in all of this seems to how to reconcile a realistically very low view of humanity given our helplessness and proneness to error, with a high view of humanity given how we are loved by God and made in his image.


Bishop Flores: 


“We look at the Church in search of Christ and become quickly disappointed; the only way forward is to look at Christ revealed in Scripture and in the Eucharist in order to see the Church within Christ. One kind of gaze does not supplant the other, they make each other possible.”   

November 16, 2020

Our Beautiful Political Symmetry

I keep whiplashing to and fro on what to think about election fraud. It’s kind of insane that someone as credible as Sydney Powell, a seeming adult in a room where adults are scarce, would put her credibility on the line so nakedly by saying that Dominion voting machines switched votes.  Even “going there” with digital voting scams feels uncomfortably conspiratorial, like saying talking about aliens at Area 51. But we’ll see. She’ll probably say, “well, unfortunately we weren’t able to prove it.”  And how could she? Voting systems are computerized and computer code is remarkably opaque. (Just ask any auditor who thinks they have done their job while the programmer is laughing after they’ve gone. The question is not if it can be hacked, it’s how difficult to do.) Having digital voting is the mother of all conspiratorial thinking precisely because you can’t prove or disprove. 

And since one party has been strenuously and vociferously demanding loosened voting restrictions and have had a history of cheating, we know that they have both the motivation and the character to cheat. It’s not a big jump to wonder about opportunity. 

I have to shake my head at the uncanny symmetry we’ve achieved in national politics over the past decade or two. Both political sides have had ample opportunity to taste the other side’s pain and euphoria. You had the ecstasy-inducing, cult-like figure Obama on the Left and the ecstasy-inducing cult-like figure of Trump on the right. You had the shameless, low character Clinton answered by the shameless, low character Trump. You had leftist conspiracies about Diebold machines when Republicans won and now unproven ones about Dominion machines.  We had an inconclusive election in 2000 where the Democrat fought for 37 days and which the media declared over after eight years, and now we’ve had an election which the media declared over in five days but the Republican candidate is still contesting. We had a Boy Scout Republican president who rammed a war down our throats (Bush) and we had a Boy Scout Democrat president who rammed his socialism down our throats (Obama). The last four presidencies have had just perfect symmetry. 


One might think it could lead to everyone empathizing with the other side now, as in “I now know how tough it is to lose a close election you think was stolen.”  Or “I know now how tough it is to have a president in office you don’t respect at all.” 


Republicans can no longer think they’re better than Democrats now that we elected a version of Clinton. Democrats can’t think ill of Republicans for questioning the 2020 election results. We can all be hypocrites together, kumbaya. But that’s not exactly how’s it been working out... 


The big increase in division in this country came when Republicans stopped being media sycophants with Stockholm syndrome. Gingrich was the initial mastermind. He was tired of Republicans being the adult in the room, tired of the responsibility of taking care of his Hunter Biden Democrat brother, and he engaged in some tough love.  And of course Trump brought Gingrichism to its full and utter maturity, or immaturity as the critics say.


_____


Listened to a lot of election and McCarrick fall-out stuff. It’s a bit overwhelming to take it all in. One of the harder things to digest is how Pope John Paul II had such a blind spot towards abusers. But why focus on the negative? Best to simply applaud Cardinal O’Connor who had the guts to call McCarrick out. Why not applaud the hero instead of fixate on the others?

Seven Quick Takes

America has averaged a pretty steady 1000 deaths a day from Covid since July, now five months. If that trend continues through the next four months (we should be so lucky since the death rate has been ticking up lately) we’ll have a total of over 400,000 deaths. Not chump change. But for perspective, about 600k Americans are expected to die from cancer in 2020 and 610k from heart disease, so a year of covid (Mar 2020-Mar 2021) is “only” about 2/3rds of cancer or heart disease.  

One way to look at covid is that it’s a slightly milder new cancer or heart trouble and, like those maladies, mostly only targets those over 50. The highest projection on Johns Hopkins website for U.S. corona deaths through March is 600k, meaning it would almost exactly mimic heart disease or cancer numbers. 


So 2020 was basically a scenario as if there was a new form of cancer, say finger cancer, that was contagious and would kill about 2/3rds as many Americans as all cancers combined.  That would definitely concentrate the mind, especially since the transmission is contagious while cancer and heart disease are not. 

_____


Re: cyber voting -- live by tech, die by tech. We deserve election hacking and are too dumb to be a democracy if we aren’t competent enough to secure our e-voting. 

___


Funny line saw online: just as Democrats don’t distinguish between legal and illegal immigrants, so too between legal and illegal votes. 


Four years ago I thought Trump was an outlier, that he didn’t have enough character to be president. Now I realize he has as much character as most Democrats and media figures. He’s not the outlier after all.

___


My list of things we’ll never know in this life is growing. Of course there’s “who killed Epstein”. There’s “who is the Big Guy on Hunter’s laptop?”.  I’m adding: “Why did six states quit counting votes?” And “why did the ballot rejection rate magically drop-off between 2018 and 2020?”.

___


I think the watershed moment for my realizing the depth of our division was admittedly just a small symbolic act: Colin Kaepernick’s kneel, like Luther nailing his 95 theses. And as with Luther it wasn’t Kaepernick that was the problem but the reaction of support (including corporate). I thought - wow, if we can’t stand together for the anthem and the flag then for what can we? Kaepernick’s act was the day patriotism as we knew it died. 


Lately I’ve been wondering if ditching the military draft had the unintended consequence of fracturing us as a country by giving us a way to sacrifice nothing for it. 

___


Perhaps the election result was the best of all possible worlds by illustrating to both sides the limits of force. 


I like force as much as the next guy, but in politics and religion it’s about as effective as knocking down a brick wall using your head.


Trump’s aggressive bullying style won few converts and Team Dems-Media’s scorched earth style lost seats in Congress & barely won the WH.  It’s kind of inspiring that Trump supporters, universally mocked and shamed as “deplorables”, were so strong in their determination not to bend in those headwinds proving that shaming someone or ridiculing them does not work. I confess that I thought the mainstream media propaganda would have more of an impact.


But Trump’s pettiness and grudge-holding won few converts as well. During his first week in office he tried to force the media to concede that his inaugural crowd size was large and the media didn’t bend. 


Force is the new black in presidential administrations. Force was what Obama did with his health care plan and to the Little Sisters of the Poor. Force was what George W. Bush did by listening to no one but his inner coterie and forcing the country into a war with few allies.  In fact, compared to Obama and Bush, Trump’s ability to force anything was greatly reduced by the handicaps of the Mueller investigation, an opposition Congress, and a Trump-loathing media. 


But force seemed to lose this election for both sides in some ways. 


___



Mrs. Darwin expressed this so well in a post about the McCarrick Report: 

Another reason, however, that I didn't sit down and write up a clear, coherent response was an existential and spiritual weariness brought on by the sheer tedious mediocre corruption of the Catholic bureaucracy. A friend commented that the McCarrick report read more like a J.F. Powers novel (minus the humor) than any kind of account of monumental Medieval or Renaissance intrigue. There's nothing edifying about corruption in any age, and nothing entertaining about lives destroyed by sin, but the pettiness of the layers of incompetence and ineffectuality on display in McCarrick's unwholesome rise to power leave one drained. Lord, to whom shall we go?

And an ouch for me:

"If one is truly committed to bringing hidden sins to light, it's necessary to have a balance of virtues, lest your witness be damaged through your own imprudence."  


November 15, 2020

If Milwaukee Had Voted Like Cleveland Trump Would’ve Won Wisconsin

So the Biden campaign’s amazing ground campaign and hectic schedule in Wisconsin really, really made a difference. 

Let’s look at two liberal, midwestern cities and note le difference, with numbers rounded: 

Cleveland 2016:  (Non-Trump vote = 69.1%)

384k Clinton. 65.8%

180k Trump. 30.8%

   19k Other.  3.3% 


Cleveland 2020: (Non-Trump vote = 66%) 

402K Biden. 66% (+18k votes over Clinton / combined vote against Trump this time = +7k) 

195K Trump. 33% (+15k votes)  

    8k  Other 

So the story in Cleveland was that Trump did remarkably better, going from 30.8% of the vote to 33%. The anti-Trump vote fell from 69.1% to 66%. 


Milwaukee was different. 


Milwaukee ’16:  (Non-Trump vote = 71%)

289k Clinton. 66.4% 

126k. Trump  29%

  20k. Other.  4.6% 

Milwaukee ’20: (Non-Trump vote = 70.4%) 

317k Biden 69.4%.  (+27k votes over Clinton) 

155k Trump. 29.4% (+29k votes over last time)

    5k. Other 1%


So the story in Milwaukee is that Trump went from 29% to 29.4%.  The anti-Trump vote fell about half a percent.

In raw votes in Milwaukee, Biden collected all of Clinton’s share plus 15k of last time’s third party candidates plus an additional 13k in new votes. 

In raw votes in Cleveland, Biden collected all of Clinton’s share plus 11k of last time’s third party candidates plus an additional 7k in new votes.  This despite Cleveland being in a larger county.

So what if Milwaukee had voted like Cleveland? Trump would’ve won WI by 5k votes. 

November 14, 2020

John Paul the First’s Prophetic Messages

On a whim I read all the writings of Pope John Paul I during his 33-day pontificate. Here are some excerpts:

At Milan station I once saw a porter, who, with his head resting on a sack of coal propped against a pillar, was sound asleep... Trains left whistling and arrived with clanking wheels the loudspeakers continually boomed out announcements; people came and went in confusion and noise, but he—sleeping on—seemed to be saying: "Do what you like, but I need to be quiet." We priests should do something similar: around us there is continual movement and talking, of persons, newspapers, radio and television. With priestly moderation and discipline we must say: "Beyond certain limits, for me, who am a priest of the Lord, you do not exist. I must take a little silence for my soul. I detach myself from you to be united with my God."

Another element of priestly discipline is love of one's own job. It is not easy, I know, to love one's job and stick to it when things are not going right, when one has the impression that one is not understood or encouraged, when inevitable comparisons with the job given to others would drive us to become sad  and discouraged. But are we not working for the Lord? Ascetical theology teaches: do not look at whom you obey, but for Whom you obey...St Francis of Sales wrote: "There is no vocation that does not have its troubles, its vexations, its disgust. Apart from those who are fully resigned to God's will. each of us would like to change his own condition with that of others. Those who are bishops wish they were not; those who are married wish they were not, and those who are not married wish that they were. Where does this general restlessness of spirits come from, if not from a certain allergy that we have towards constraint and from a spirit that is not good, which make us suppose that others are better off than we are?" (St Francis of Sales, Oeuvres, edit. Annecy, t. XII, 348-9).


A day before his death from a heart attack:


In a word: to love means travelling, rushing with one's heart towards the object loved. The Imitation of Christ says: he who loves "currit, volat, laetatur", runs, flies and rejoices.


To love God is therefore a journeying with one's heart to God. A wonderful journey! When I was a boy, I was thrilled by the journeys described by Jules Verne ("Twenty Thousand Leagues Under The Sea", "From The Earth To The Moon", "Round The World In Eighty Days", etc). But the journeys of love for God are far more interesting. You read them in the lives of the Saints.


In another address, the first paragraph reminds me of how we are told in Scripture that humanity fell in the Garden of Eden: 


My mother used to tell me when I was a boy: "When you were little, you were very ill. I had to take you from one doctor to another and watch over you whole nights; do you believe me?" How could I have said: "I don't believe you, Mamma"? "Of course I believe, I believe what you tell me, but I believe especially in you."


And so it is in faith. It is not just a question of believing in the things that God revealed, but in him who deserves our faith, who has loved us so much and done so much for our sake.


It is also difficult to accept some truths, because the truths of faith are of two kinds; some pleasant, others unpalatable to our spirit. For example, it is pleasant to hear that God has so much tenderness for us, even more tenderness than a mother has for her children, as Isaiah says. How pleasant and congenial it is! There was a great French bishop, Dupanloup, who used to say to the rectors of seminaries: "with the future priests, be fathers, be mothers". It is agreeable. Other truths, on the contrary, are hard to accept. God must punish, if I resist. He runs after me, he begs me to repent and I say: "No!" I almost force him to punish me. This is not agreeable. But it is a truth of faith.


Elsewhere


The world awaits this today: it knows well that the sublime perfection to which it has attained by research and technology has already reached a peak, beyond which yawns the abyss, blinding the eyes with darkness. It is the temptation of substituting for God one's own decisions, decisions that would prescind from moral laws.


On bad people in the Church leadership: 


But if by chance there should sometimes be bad people in the Church? We have our mother. If mother is sick, if my mother by chance should become lame, I love her even more. It is the same, in the Church. If there are, and there are, defects and shortcomings, our affection for the Church must never fail. Yesterday, and I conclude, I was sent the issue of "Città Nuova". I saw that they have reported, recording it, a very short address of mine, with an episode. A certain British preacher MacNabb, speaking in Hyde Park, had spoken of the Church. When he finished, someone asked to speak and said: "Yours are fine words. But I know some Catholic priests who did not stay with the poor and became rich. I know also Catholic husbands who have betrayed their wives. I do not like this Church made of sinners." The Father said: "There's something in what you say. But may I make an objection?" — "Let's hear it."—He says: "Excuse me, but am I mistaken or is the collar of your shirt a little greasy?" —He says: "Yes, it is, I admit." —"But is it greasy because you haven't used soap, or because you used soap but it was no use?" "No", he says, I haven't used soap."


You see. The Catholic Church too has extraordinary soap: the gospel, the sacraments, prayer. The gospel read and lived; the sacraments celebrated in the right way; prayer well used, would be a marvellous soap, capable of making us all saints. We are not all saints, because we have not used this soap enough. Let us try to meet the hopes of the Popes who held and applied the Council, Pope John, Pope Paul. Let us try to improve the Church, by becoming better ourselves. Each of us and the whole Church could recite the prayer I am accustomed to recite: "Lord, take me as I am, with my defects, with my shortcomings, but make me become as you want me to be."


May the Pope recommend obedience? Bossuet, who was a great bishop, wrote: "Where no one commands, everyone commands. Where everyone commands, no one commands any longer, but chaos."


I run the risk of making a blunder, but I will say it: the Lord loves humility so much that, sometimes, he permits serious sins. Why? In order that those who committed these sins may, after repenting remain humble. One does not feel inclined to think oneself half a saint, half an angel, when one knows that one has committed serious faults. The Lord recommended it so much: be humble.


Above all Pope Gregory the Great wrote beautiful books; one is the "Pastoral Rule": it teaches bishops their trade, but, in the last part, it has the following words: "I have described the good shepherd but I am not one, I have shown the shore of perfection at which to arrive, but personally I am still in the breakers of my faults and my shortcomings, and so: please", he said "so that I will not be shipwrecked, throw me a safety belt with your prayers." I say the same; yet it is not just the Pope who needs prayers, but the world. A Spanish writer has written: "the world is going wrong because there are more battles than prayers." Let us try to see that there may be more prayers and fewer battles.

______


Pope Paul not only made me a Cardinal, but some months earlier, on the wide footbridge in St Mark's Square, he made me blush to the roots of my hair in the presence of 20,000 people, because he removed his stole and placed it on my shoulders. Never have I blushed so much!

______


In the course of the centuries there have also appeared from time to time affirmations and tendencies of Christians that were too dour with regard to man. But these affirmations were disapproved of by the Church and were forgotten, thanks to a host of joyful and hardworking saints, to Christian humanism, and to a comprehensive theology. St Thomas Aquinas, for example, puts among the virtues jucunditas or the capacity of changing things heard and seen into a cheerful smile—to the extent and in the way appropriate (cf. 2.2ae, q. 168, a.2). This kind of cheerfulness, I explained to my pupils, was shown by that Irish mason who fell from the scaffolding and broke his legs. He was taken to hospital and the doctor and Sister nurse rushed to him. "Poor thing", the latter said, "you hurt yourself falling." But I the patient said: "Mother, not exactly falling, but reaching the ground I hurt myself."


When St Thomas declared that joking and making people smile was a virtue, he was in agreement with the "glad tidings" preached by Christ, and with the hilaritas recommended by St Augustine. He overcame pessimism, clothed Christian life in joy and invited us to keep up our courage also with the healthy, pure joys, which we meet on our way.


When I was a boy, I read something about Andrew Carnegie the Scot, who went to America with his parents and gradually became one of the richest men in the world. He was not a Catholic, but I was struck by the fact that he returned insistently to the simple, true joys of his life. "I was born in poverty", he said, "but I would not exchange the memories of my childhood with those of a millionaire's children. What do they know of family joys, of the sweet figure of a mother who combines the duties of nurse, washerwoman, cook, teacher, angel and saint?" When still very young, he took a job in a Pittsburgh mill with 56 miserable lire a month as wages. One evening, instead of giving him his wage at once, the cashier told him to wait. Carnegie was trembling: "Now they'll dismiss me."


On the contrary, after paying the others, the cashier said to him: "Andrew, I've watched your work carefully; I've come to the conclusion that it is worth more than that of the others. I'm raising your wage to 67 lire." Carnegie said many years afterwards, "all my millions put together never gave me the joy of that eleven lire rise."